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Obama outpolls Pawlenty in Minnesota

by: Joe Bodell

Fri Jul 10, 2009 at 12:36:21 PM CDT


To be filed under "Duh."

President Barack Obama's approval rating, while it's fallen a bit from its stratospheric start, still leaves Pawlenty in the dust. This, according to the same poll that showed Norm Coleman not doing so hot in a hypothetical matchup to succeed Pawlenty in the Governor's office.

Obama easily outpolls Pawlenty, Palin
Raleigh, N.C. - Barack Obama's approval rating in Minnesota has dropped six points since April. Nevertheless he beats Tim Pawlenty and Sarah Palin by a larger margin than he won against John McCain in the state last fall, Public Policy Polling's newest survey finds.

Obama's approval rating is 54%, with 39% of respondents disapproving. When PPP polled Minnesota in April the spread was 60/30. His numbers are steady with Democrats and have dropped some with independents but the biggest decline is among Republicans. Where previously 23% of them approved of his performance, now just 12% do. Voters in the state still like him a good deal better than some of his GOP alternatives though. Tim Pawlenty's approval has also dropped from a 46/40 spread three months ago to now a negative 44/48 one. In a hypothetical 2012 contest Obama leads Pawlenty
51-40.

Sarah Palin does far worse with Minnesotans, with 53% of them viewing her unfavorably and only 39% in a positive manner. She trails Obama by a 56-35 margin, which would be the most lopsided margin for President in the state since 1964.

"These numbers nicely sum up the national political climate," said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. "Barack Obama's popularity is declining as the economy continues to stagnate, but voters don't trust the Republican leaders either. It doesn't bode well for Tim Pawlenty". [Emphasis added]

Of course, there are still years between now and when a poll like this would actually matter -- a lifetime in politics. Nevertheless, if Tim Pawlenty can't even offer his home state as a potential electoral college pickup, it's difficult to see how he makes a case for himself as a 270-vote winner nationally.
Joe Bodell :: Obama outpolls Pawlenty in Minnesota
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This is very early, (0.00 / 0)
and much will likely change, but I'm becoming increasingly skeptical of T-Paw's chances of getting far as a national candidate.

I wonder if his Teflon won't melt, crackle and wither, or whatever it is that Teflon does, under the sorts of attacks he'll see from his potential opponents, especially the hard-liners and their allies, for the Republican nomination.  He won't be able to count on the fawning, even worshipful, press coverage he mostly gets from MN old media, esp. the Strib and WCCO.

Anyone know what, if anything, a certain repulsive, blowhard, stinkweed-sucking junkie slob, initials R.L., has ever had to say about Pawlenty?  That might provide a better indicator of his chances than any poll, at this point.


Did you miss Senator Klobuchar's numbers ? (0.00 / 0)
Unlike the Coleman Governor's poll that PPP released the day before that was meaningless, this actually had some interesting information.

First, the positive ... with the negative feeling that poll participants have toward anyone in Congress, Senator Klobuchar has an overall favorable approval rating by 56% of the participants including strong numbers from Moderates (68%) and Conservatives (24%).  Her Unfavorable was only 30 (primarily from Conservatives).

Second, Pawlenty really only got no "favorite son" support.  The baseline can be set at Palin's  35%, so Pawlenty at 40 is horrible.  If this poll was taken a month ago, Palin's numbers probably would have been higher as she only got 70% of the Conservative support versus Pawlenty at 76% ... no way that Pawlenty would beat Palin in the MN-GOP if she hadn't resigned.

Third, Pawlenty was smart to NOT seek re-election.  His Unfavorables tell it all.  To win the 2010 Governor's race, the DFL must run against Pawlenty painting Siefert as the same type of Republican that would "unallot" at first opportunity.


 

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