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No Need For XCEL Hiawatha Project

by: Grace Kelly

Thu Jul 16, 2009 at 02:49:19 AM CDT


XCEL is planning an expensive Hiawatha project that would devastate the community when basically need has not been shown. This particular article focuses on the need aspect. Later articles will cover community impact.

The basis of the need requirement is the highest use of electricity, the peak demand.

First of all, this assumption of a continuously increasing demand when people are trying to go off the grid and reduce the carbon footprint is questionable. The continuing downward blue line might be more accurate. However with good conservation efforts, we can make that happen!

 

Grace Kelly :: No Need For XCEL Hiawatha Project
Appendix D of the XCEL Hiawatha Project is the only superficial need assessment done. Basically, for conservation, the XCEL study only looked at current existing XCEL conservation programs which are admittedly pathetic.

At 2006 peak feeder circuit loading levels in the Focused Study Area, there was a total of 331 MW of customer demand and a deficit of 55 MW under single contingency operating conditions. To eliminate the 55 MW deficit, conservation and DSM programs would need to eliminate approximately 17% of existing load on the distribution system in the Focused Study Area, which is a substantial amount of load reduction and unlikely to be achievable through these programs.

(XCEL)

So let's assume that XCEL has covered insulation, weather stripping, double windows, good sealing doors and energy star appliances.

Now, let's just start stacking up the peak conservation methods that we could be using!

1) Offload energy usage from peak times to night times through thermal energy storage (TES).

Air conditioning and process cooling loads are key contributors to this peak electrical demand problem. Approximately 35% to 40% of the peak electrical demand for large commercial office and institutional buildings is air conditioning related.

Thermal Energy Storage (TES) can eliminate approximately 60% to 80% of the peak electrical demand related to air conditioning for many large
commercial office and institutional buildings by transferring most of that air conditioning energy use to the previous night. TES is a proven technology that began over 80 years ago, when electricity prices were high, and electrical systems were unreliable.

Description

TES acts as a storage battery for air conditioning systems - the cooling is done at night, when electrical demand is low and generation or transmission and delivery capacity constraints are minimized. This cooling energy is
stored in a tank for use the next afternoon. During the afternoon, the main air conditioning equipment is shut off. The cooling is then supplied to the building by the "battery", thus reducing the power usage during peak hours
(when electrical demand is at its highest and power generation equipment efficiency is at its worst).

One key difference between this "air-conditioning battery" and a typical battery is that the air-conditioning battery is over 130% efficient - it takes far less source and site energy to charge the air conditioning battery at night
when it is cool than it would take to run the air-conditioning system on hot afternoons, when power plant and air-conditioning equipment are at their poorest efficiency levels.

(ROI Engineering)

2) Higher peak energy pricing of course encourages people to use electricity at off hours.

3) Plant trees strategically on the south sides of houses to shade roofs!

Urban shade trees offer significant benefits in reducing building air-conditioning demand and improving urban air quality by reducing smog. The savings associated with these benefits vary by climate region and can be up to $200 per tree.

(Science Direct)

4) Use white roofs!

A study released September 9, 2008 by scientists from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in California quantified what traditional builders have known for centuries: that white roofs help deflect the sun's hot rays and reduce the indoor temperature of the building below. In air-conditioned houses, a reflective white roof helps reduce the amount of heat that reaches the inside of the house, reducing the need for air conditioning. In houses without air conditioning, a white roof keeps the house more comfortable on hot days.

(Saving Energy)

5) Use air-conditioning savings time instead of daylight savings time.

By shifting two hours, people will actually come home when the temperature is cooling off saving energy.

Residential load, however, typically reaches its peak later in the day and usually occurs between 4 and 6 p.m. as people return home from work and school for the day.

(XCEL)

In principle, the smart grid is a simple upgrade of 20th century power grids which generally "broadcast" power from a few central power generators to a large number of users, to instead be capable of routing power in more optimal ways to respond to a very wide range of condition

(wiki)

6) Get smart power strips to actually turn off appliances that still use electricity when powered off.

They are half of our appliances, electronic equipment and associated chargers that suck down power even when they're turned off, in sleep or standby mode. A typical house hosts around 50 such insomniacs, and though individual devices use minuscule amounts of electricity, in the aggregate they're an astonishing and pricey burden.

This "vampire energy loss" represents between 5 and 8 percent of a single family home's total electricity use per year, according to the Department of Energy.

(Salon)

So even before using alternative energy, XCEL has not really considered a conservation option at all.

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That's a lot of assumptions. (0.00 / 0)
Could you please explain how this line would devastate the community? Those of us in the rural areas where your power comes from have lived with these lines and devastate is not the word we would use to describe them. Ugly yes. But it's a price I gladly pay for the convenience of having refrigerated food and hospitals and lights and even this computer.

Next: aren't you putting the cart before the horse? All the ideas you laid out may be good ones assuming people and businesses have enough up front capital to do them. But what if they don't?  Or what if a smaller percentage does this than is needed? Do we legislate to force it? Do you seriously think that everyone is going to paint their roofs white?

What about the fact that using old or outdated power lines causes us to burn more coal to make up for the loss of power on the transmissions lines?

It brings to mind the new Hennepin County Maintenance Building with solar panels that will take 100 years to recover the cost of the solar panels.

What happens if we convert to electric cars? What happens if the population continues to increase?

Are you basing your original supposition that the line is not needed based on the idea that we will be using less electricity in the future? That seems risky.  


A Rural Line (0.00 / 0)
is one of the stories that I hope to cover. Like I have said, telling this story will take a few articles. As always you ask good questions, just takes me awhile to answer all of them.

[ Parent ]
GREAT! Finally, let's look at the numbers, characterize the need (0.00 / 0)
Great post -- It's about time someone looked at the numbers and looked at the need -- what they're saying the need and why they say they need it does NOT match up with what's proposed.  The 2007 Biennial Xmsn Plan says they'll need maybe 100MW in the planning horizon, but they're building a double circuit 795 ACSS with a much bigger capacity than that.  

They're also only disclosing part of what is a much larger project.  That same transmission plan says that the plan is to go from Hiawatha sub over to Oakland sub (deemed the Hiawatha Project) and from there south to the 494 ring.  That is their disclosed plan.  At a meeting this time last year, Xcel also disclosed a 345kV line from a new sub near Hwy. 280 down to the new Hiawatha sub planned for the Hiawatha Project.  From the 280 sub down to the 494 ring is a project long enough to require a Certificate of Need, where they'd have to prove up need.  Hence the shorter distance project known as Hiawatha Projectm-- because if they break up these phased and connected projects, no CoN, no scrutiny of claimed need.  And that's the way, uh-huh, uh-huh, they like it, uh-huh, uh-huh...

Oh, and there's voltage regulation, that's distribution and reactive power, both easily within Xcel's control.  The distribution system is how old?  Upgrade now!  Voltage regulation means too much power from central station power a long ways away, so let's bolster the system with solar strategically placed, toss in a few capacitor banks for good measure.  

For a rough "artists conception" map of the whole ball o' wax, and links to the July 2008 disclosure of the 280-Hiawatha piece, and the 2007 Biennial Xmsn Plan section 7.5 (scroll way down to find Mpls. plan to address claimed 100MW need in area) here on Legalectric: http://legalectric.org/weblog/3351/

And for Xcel's 10-K showing peak demand down ~1,200MW:
http://legalectric.org/weblog/...  

Xcel wouldn't lie in their Transmission Plan would they?  And they wouldn't lie in their SEC 10-K filings, would they?  So why don't these pieces fit together?

Now this was all planned before Xcel disclosed in their SEC filings that "need" is down the toilet -- peak demand went down 11% in 2007 and 2008, before the economy tanked, so imagine how much it's dropped in 2009.  And GWh sales?  Let's see the numbers, Xcel.  What does decreased demand do to the claimed 100MW need?  Something tells me we can deal with that with the 1.5% mandated conservation, and a little Phillips-spirited efficiency, load shifting, and yes, even just a little more conservation!  We can smooth out Xcel's voltage problems with PV on even a few big roofs (every hospital building in the area, say...).  And yes, we know all hospitals have generators, so no one's going to freeze/swelter, in an incubator/on a respirator, in the dark without a job.  Look at the big picture, look at Xcel generated primary documents, and connect the dots.  This is not as presented, it's not needed, Xcel, you're going to have to do better than this.


Population continuing to increase... (0.00 / 0)
Conversion to electric cars, electric mowers, more and more electric-charged electronic devices, etc.  Let's wait until demand is way above supply and then start building the transmission lines.  Don't even think about including power for all the light rail lines that will be built!

 

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